|
As you think about managing risk to stabilize farm income,
there are five basic sources of agricultural risk that you should consider -
production, marketing, financial, legal, and human resource management risks.
There are different tools and strategies you can use to manage each of these
risks.
1) Production Risks
Production risks relate to the possibility that your yield
or output levels will be lower than anticipated. Major sources of production risks arise from
inclement weather conditions (such as drought, freezes, or excessive rainfall
at harvest), but may also result from damage due to insect pests and disease.
Tools and strategies:
- Follow
recommended production practices.
- Diversify
enterprises by growing different crops and varieties.
- Expand
production or plant excess acreage.
- Purchase
multi-peril crop insurance coverage to stabilize income.
- Adopt
appropriate technology such as drip irrigation, tile drainage, or resistant
varieties.
- Consider
site selection - use or rent acreage less susceptible to specific pests or
frost.
- Maintain
equipment and keep facilities in good working condition.
2) Marketing/Price Risks
Marketing risks relate to the possibility that you will lose
the market for your products or that the price received will be less than
expected. Common sources of marketing risk include lower prices due to
increased supply or decreased consumer demand; loss of market access due to the
relocation or closing of a processor or other buyer; and, lack of marketing
power due to the small size of farm sellers relative to others in the market.
Tools and Strategies:
- Develop a marketing plan with
realistic sales forecasts and target prices.
- Form or join a marketing
cooperative to enhance prices and guarantee a market.
- Increase direct marketing efforts
to capture a higher price.
- Market through multiple channels
or outlets to reduce reliance on a single market.
- Enter into sales or price
contracts with buyers.
- Spread harvest and sales over the
season by scheduling planting and considering storage options.
- Conduct basic market research - survey
your customers.
3) Financial Risks
Financial risks relate to the possibility of having
insufficient cash to meet expected obligations, lower than expected profits,
and loss of net worth. Sources of
financial risk commonly result from the production and marketing risks
described earlier. In addition financial risks may also be caused by increases
in key input costs, increases in interest rates, excessive borrowing, lack of
adequate cash or credit reserves, and changes in exchange rates.
Tools and Strategies:
- Develop a comprehensive business
plan identifying mission, objectives and goals.
- Monitor financial ratios and
benchmarks related to liquidity, solvency and profitability.
- Control key farm expenses.
- Conduct a trend analysis to assess
what’s happening with farm income and net worth over time.
- Purchase whole farm revenue
insurance, such as AGR or AGR-Lite, to provide a safety net.
- Communicate with suppliers and
lenders to review and renegotiate exiting contracts and loan terms.
- Consider leasing and rental
options rather than purchasing machinery, equipment or land.
- Evaluate the possibility of
business expansion (getting larger) or contraction (reducing size).
- Control or defer unnecessary
family and household expenditures.
- Find off-farm employment for a
family member, preferably a job with benefits such health insurance, group life
insurance, and a retirement program.
- Use non-farm investments such as
IRAs or mutual funds to diversify your asset portfolio.
4) Legal and environmental risks
In part, legal risks relate to fulfilling business
agreements and contracts. Another major source of legal risk is tort liability,
i.e., causing injury to another person or property due to negligence. Legal risk is also related to environmental
liability and concerns about water quality, erosion and pesticide use.
Tools and strategies:
- Review business insurance policies and be certain to carry
sufficient liability coverage.
- Evaluate your choice of business legal structure; a sole proprietorship
is not always the best business organization.
- Understand business contracts and agreements; ask questions
if you are unsure.
- Take time to develop good relationships with neighbors and
address their concerns.
- Use good agricultural practices to limit environmental risk.
- Know and follow State and Federal regulations related to
your farming operation.
5) Human resource management risks:
Human resource risks pertain to risks associated with
individuals and their relationships to each other, their families and the farm
business. Sources of human resource risk include the three D’s — divorce,
death, or disability of a business owner, manager, employee or family member.
It also includes risks arising from poor communications and people-management
practices.
Tools and strategies:
- Develop and practice good “people skills” for family as well
as employees.
- Evaluate alternative sources of labor.
- Provide adequate training for employees, formalized programs
may help your safety record as well as improve performance.
- Communicate with employees and family members.
- Recognize and reward good performance.
- Review estate and business transfer plans to help insure the
farm continues.
- Consider long-term care and life insurance needs.
Managing risk starts with identifying the most crucial risks
you face; understanding the potential impacts and likelihood of undesirable
outcomes; and, identifying and taking possible steps to mitigate or lessen the
impacts. It’s unlikely any one person
understands all the areas of risk a family farm faces. If you don’t know the
answer or find it difficult to initiate risk management planning on your own,
get assistance.
Written by Michael Sciabarrasi, Extension Professor,
Agricultural Business Management, UNH Cooperative Extension. Adapted from
version appearing in prior edition.
|